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Andrew's Boxing Blog

By Andrew Eisele, About.com Guide to Boxing since 1999

Poll: Pacquiao - Marquez II. Who Will Win?

Wednesday March 12, 2008
On Saturday night, Manny Pacquiao and Juan Manuel Marquez meet in Las Vegas (and on HBO pay-per-view) in the long-awaited rematch of their 2004 draw. It's not often that two of top three pound-for-pound fighters in all of boxing meet in the ring, so this fight is an absolute must-see bout.

In their first meeting, on May 8, 2004, Pacquiao knocked Marquez down three times in round one, but Marquez weathered the storm and rallied over the remaining 11 rounds to earn a split draw. Since their first meeting, Pacquiao has gone 7-1 with wins over Erik Morales (twice) and Marco Antonio Barrera. The lone loss was to Morales in the first of their three meetings. Over the same time, Marquez has compiled a 6-1 record with wins over Barrera and Rocky Juarez. The loss came to undefeated Chris John in John's native Indonesia.

If Pacquiao wins, there is talk of him moving up to lightweight for a July meeting with WBA champ David Diaz, who's in action in a non-title fight on the Pacquaio-Marquez undercard. There also remains speculation that if Pacquiao gets by both Marquez and Diaz - talk about looking ahead - he could face Oscar De La Hoya in September in what would be billed as the Golden Boy's career finale. Sounds good in theory, but the reality is that Pacquaio is 5-6 and has never fought above 130 pounds. De La Hoya is nearly 5-11 and hasn't competed below junior middleweight (154 pounds) since 2001! Sounds a lot like the type of matchmaking that De La Hoya feasted on early in his career ... and exactly what he's looking for after losing three of his last five bouts.

Prediction: Pacquiao is favored by oddsmakers but this is truly a pick 'em fight. As demonstrated in the first fight, Pacquiao is heavier handed and Marquez is the better technician. However, in the nearly four years since their first meeting, Pacquiao has actually improved as he now shows slightly more discipline in the ring. Also, at 29, Pacquaio is likely closer to his physical prime than the 34-year-old Marquez. Pacquaio will be the aggressor but can't count on multiple knockdowns this time around so he'll have to outwork and out-land Marquez -- no easy task. Marquez will look to counter Pacquiao effectively, win rounds and - of course - stay off the canvas. Pacquiao by split decision.

Who do you think will win? Pacquiao or Marquez? Vote in our poll.

Comments

March 12, 2008 at 3:23 pm
(1) Cris says:

It is true that marquez ahead over pacquiao if we are looking in boxing ability itself, but you can’t ignore the filipinos’speed and power! look at the way he dismantled barerra in two occation, it seems that boxing tachtician now adays is loosing to a hard puncher.(e.g., Mosley vs Cotto, Vasquez vs Marquez)

prediction: Pacquiao within 10 rounds!

March 12, 2008 at 4:04 pm
(2) Plumber says:

Well, Cotto is not only a brawler (if you were refer to him), he’s a good tachtician and can fit any kind of boxing style, but that’s other story.

I think Marquez will win this fight if he doesn’t make the same mistakes he did in that fisrt round of the first fight.

March 12, 2008 at 5:07 pm
(3) RF says:

And I think Pacquiao will win this fight if he doesn’t make the same mistakes he did in the remaining 11 rounds of the first fight. ;-)

Pacquaio by KO within 9 rounds!

March 12, 2008 at 8:15 pm
(4) alfredo says:

I am boxing fan and I think marquez will win by decition he is smater than pacman 10 rounds for marquez 2 for pacman

March 12, 2008 at 8:27 pm
(5) Jeno says:

I will bet on Pacquiao to win it over via KO in only 5 rounds. His will and humble heart will help him to finish the business. GOD will guide him from the beginning till the end. God bless you PACMAN. Mabuhay Philippines!!!!

March 12, 2008 at 11:01 pm
(6) ROD says:

I THINK MARQUEZ WILL WIN BY DECISION.HE WILL OUTBOX PACQUIAO. MANNY IS NOT AS GOOD FIGHTING BACKWARDS.MARQUEZ BETTER BOXING ABILITIES, WILL PREVAIL THIS TIME.

March 12, 2008 at 11:03 pm
(7) Jeno says:

Marquez is very boastful. God will not allow boastful persons to win. Just be humble like Pacman. I will assure the world that PACMAN will win.

March 12, 2008 at 11:51 pm
(8) PinoyGlad says:

This article by Andrew Eisele is one of the most concise, straightforward, objective discussions about the fight between the current versions of Pacman and Dinamita. Kudos to Andrew: Pacquiao by TKO 9.

March 13, 2008 at 9:59 am
(9) Jake says:

Well i don’t think Marquez is smarter in terms of boxing skills and abilities in the ring compare to Morales and Barrera…

March 13, 2008 at 10:02 am
(10) Jake says:

If the referee properly saw the knockdown of marquez in round 7 and no points were deducted to barrera, marquez would end-up nothing..

Pacman UD Or KO in the late round..

March 13, 2008 at 10:12 am
(11) Ka Dante says:

Marquez, you could win in 12 if you avoid hurting Pacquiao, jab and run. However, IF you draw first blood and hit Pacquiao very hard, and hurt the Pacman… well… Manny will be angry… and you won’t like Pacman when he’s angry.

So, don’t hurt the Pac while getting your points. He is kind to people who don’t hurt him.

Make the Pacman mad at Round 2, he wins at Round 3.

March 14, 2008 at 3:10 am
(12) boom says:

I am very sure that pacman will win by a knockout… God will guide him through out the fight… MABUHAY PILIPINAS!!!

March 14, 2008 at 3:17 am
(13) boom says:

Manny is a humble person. Unlike marquez!! God knows that. Pacman will prove to the world,how good he is. That will bring him at the top of the table. Pacman K0 in the late round.

March 14, 2008 at 3:21 am
(14) notz!!! says:

Pacman by KO within 6 rounds… God bless you, manny!

March 14, 2008 at 3:23 am
(15) h0T one!! says:

Pacman will make us proud once again!! mabuhay ka manny!!!

March 14, 2008 at 7:20 am
(16) leoman70 says:

Pacman will win by a KO!!! Go PACMAN…

March 15, 2008 at 8:40 am
(17) emiliano zapata says:

Pacquiao’s countrymen are a very strange people. They have rebels who are fighting their government’s army, they kill each other. But look at what their army chief did, he declares a ceasefire for seven hours just for their soldier to watch the Pacman fight. Weird! Really. Is it a proof how important Pacquiao is to his country’s peace and order situation? Is that how impotent their home security officials are? Pinning their hopes on one prizefighter? Pathetic. Just look at the people from Philipines who are going to watch him fight live at the ring… most of them are politicians, not necessarily good politicians, who are good gamblers. Poor country! Pacquiao must win… for his country’s sake. Good luck Pacquiao.

March 17, 2008 at 11:49 pm
(18) VivaLoserMexico says:

Mexico your losser pacman vs all the mexican hahahahaha what a loser pacman now is like achiles who can defeat all his enemy by his own ahhhhhhhahahahhahaha

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